Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-5
CD Basconia vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
BAS
2 - 0
LEM
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
LAR
2 - 1
BAS
48%
31%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
AGD
1 - 0
BAS
63%
19%
17%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
BAS
2 - 1
SNT
74%
19%
7%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
SPB
2 - 0
BAS
47%
29%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
OSA
1 - 0
DEP
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
PUE
2 - 2
OSA
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
OSA
4 - 0
OLI
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
OSA
2 - 1
VAD
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
MUR
2 - 1
OSA
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |