Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-4
CD Basconia vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
BAS
3 - 0
CAC
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
ARE
1 - 0
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
BAS
3 - 1
SDI
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
CAU
0 - 0
BAS
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
CUL
2 - 1
BAS
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
OBE
7 - 1
BIN
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
TOL
4 - 2
OBE
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
OBE
2 - 1
OLO
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
OBE
2 - 1
NUM
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
OBE
2 - 0
OLO
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |