CD Basconia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
BAS
1 - 0
CDC
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
SDI
2 - 1
BAS
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
HER
4 - 0
BAS
58%
20%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
BAS
2 - 1
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
RSO
0 - 1
BAS
53%
21%
27%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
RAY
0 - 2
HER
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
HER
4 - 0
MAL
62%
20%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
HER
4 - 0
BAS
58%
20%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
CAD
0 - 1
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
HER
1 - 2
UDL
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |