CD Basconia vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ARE
0 - 1
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CDU
1 - 2
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 2
SNT
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
OIA
2 - 2
BAS
27%
25%
48%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 3
ZAL
47%
24%
30%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
CDU
61%
23%
17%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SNT
0 - 3
GER
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
OIA
64%
22%
15%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ZAL
2 - 1
GER
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GER
0 - 1
CLU
61%
23%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |