Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-0
CD Basconia vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
CDG
2 - 1
BAS
65%
22%
13%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
BAS
1 - 1
CFP
45%
30%
25%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1974 |
GER
0 - 0
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
UPL
1 - 1
BAS
76%
17%
7%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
BAS
2 - 3
PON
33%
32%
35%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
GIM
4 - 1
GER
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
GER
1 - 0
CDG
43%
29%
28%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 1974 |
GER
0 - 0
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
AST
1 - 1
GER
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
GER
1 - 2
CFP
37%
30%
34%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |