CD Basconia vs CD Touring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
8º
3º
25
2º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 74 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 56 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 40 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 19 |
18º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
85% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DEU
1 - 0
BAS
35%
28%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 1
CDU
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
URD
0 - 3
BAS
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BAS
5 - 1
LON
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 2
BAS
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CD Touring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CDT
0 - 4
LEI
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ATX
3 - 2
CDT
42%
23%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
CDT
1 - 1
CSV
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
CDT
61%
23%
16%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CDT
0 - 3
SDE
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |