CD Basconia vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
BAS
2 - 1
CFC
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
CEL
5 - 1
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
BAS
2 - 1
CUL
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
SPO
2 - 1
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
SLA
0 - 1
BAS
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 1
VAL
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 2
SLA
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
PUL
4 - 1
BUR
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
BUR
0 - 3
SDI
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
SAB
1 - 1
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |