Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-5
CD Basconia vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
51.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
ATM
5 - 1
BAS
91%
6%
3%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
SSC
1 - 1
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1959 |
BAS
0 - 1
SDI
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
RUN
1 - 2
BAS
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
BAS
2 - 1
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
ATM
5 - 1
BAS
91%
6%
3%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1959 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATM
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
UDL
2 - 2
ATM
33%
24%
44%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
38%
23%
39%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ATM
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |