Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-4
CD Basconia vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
CUL
3 - 0
BAS
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
BAS
0 - 1
ENS
53%
26%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
TUR
1 - 1
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
BAS
2 - 0
GIN
83%
13%
5%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
GRA
3 - 1
BAS
54%
25%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
ALA
4 - 0
GUA
90%
9%
2%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
ATB
1 - 0
ALA
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
ALA
0 - 0
SAL
91%
7%
1%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
PEG
2 - 1
ALA
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
ATX
0 - 1
ALA
39%
29%
32%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |