Basáñez vs Ituzaingó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
PLA
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
ALT
85%
12%
4%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 0
BAS
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 1
BVS
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |