Basáñez vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
DUR
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
BAS
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
SBI
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
CMP
1 - 1
BAS
6%
13%
82%
|
64 | 7 | 57 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 1
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 0
CSC
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 1
ATE
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 1
JUN
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 0
CSC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |