FA Trophy 1/64
Global 4-4
Barwell vs Stamford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
STA
1 - 1
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
HAL
0 - 2
BAR
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 3
KIN
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
STN
0 - 1
BAR
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
BED
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Stamford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
STA
1 - 1
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
TAD
3 - 0
STA
42%
26%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
STA
1 - 0
KET
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 2
STA
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
LEE
0 - 1
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |