Barwell vs Redditch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 3
COA
37%
24%
40%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
STO
3 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
6 - 1
STN
48%
23%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SPE
4 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
STR
2 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Redditch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
RED
4 - 2
ALV
36%
23%
42%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
RED
2 - 2
RUS
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
NEE
3 - 1
RED
71%
17%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
RED
1 - 2
ROY
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
STN
3 - 1
RED
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |