Barwell vs Leiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
NUN
3 - 1
BAR
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
HED
3 - 2
BAR
53%
24%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 2
TAM
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
NEE
2 - 3
BAR
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
4 - 1
MAN
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
STR
3 - 1
LEI
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
PET
8 - 1
LEI
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
LEI
0 - 4
BIG
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
STO
5 - 1
LEI
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
WAR
5 - 1
LEI
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |