Barwell vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
BRO
2 - 7
BAR
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 3
BRO
29%
24%
46%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
RED
0 - 1
BAR
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
RUS
0 - 1
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
5 - 0
LEI
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
STR
1 - 2
HED
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
HED
4 - 0
RED
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HED
0 - 1
BOS
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
BRO
4 - 0
HED
35%
24%
40%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
HED
4 - 1
ROY
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |