Qualif. Champions Primera ronda Final
Global 2-4
Barry Town vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 0
BAR
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
BAR
5 - 1
ABE
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 1
CWM
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
OSW
0 - 4
BAR
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAR
69%
18%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 0
BAR
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
BEL
1 - 0
VAR
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
VAR
6 - 2
TIK
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
VAR
4 - 3
POB
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
SIL
0 - 1
VAR
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |