Barry Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
11º
9º
62
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
PON
40%
25%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
6 - 0
PTA
85%
10%
5%
|
52 | 6 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAR
68%
20%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 3
CAE
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
BAR
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
RTW
0 - 5
TNS
5%
12%
83%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 2
EAS
93%
6%
2%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 4
TNS
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
4 - 0
PON
81%
13%
7%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 3
TNS
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |