Barry Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
74%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
NSI
5 - 1
BAR
67%
19%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 2
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAE
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
7 - 1
CAR
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
TNS
3 - 1
ZIL
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 2
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
TNS
6 - 1
94%
5%
1%
|
75 | 28 | 47 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
TNS
32%
23%
45%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 1
TNS
14%
19%
67%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |