Barry Town vs Porthcawl Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAR
68%
20%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 3
CAE
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
BAR
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
BAL
22%
25%
54%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 0
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Porthcawl Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 2
PTA
44%
21%
35%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ABF
2 - 0
PTA
55%
21%
24%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PTA
0 - 2
ABF
22%
20%
58%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |