Barry Town vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
11º
9º
13
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98.5% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
6 - 0
PTA
85%
10%
5%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAR
68%
20%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 3
CAE
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
BAR
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
BAL
22%
25%
54%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PON
6 - 0
ABB
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
HAV
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
4 - 0
PON
81%
13%
7%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
NEW
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 0
PON
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |