Barry Town vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
10º
7º
50
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
TNS
29%
21%
50%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
CON
39%
26%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
HAV
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
TNS
3 - 2
PEN
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 1
FLI
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 5
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
BAL
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |