Barry Town vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
6º
6º
49
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PON
1 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
HAV
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 2
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
5 - 0
COL
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
HAV
0 - 1
PEN
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
PON
64%
21%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
ABE
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 2
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |