Barry Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
11º
9º
33
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1.5% | 70% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98.5% | 30% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAR
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
BAR
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CON
7 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
PEN
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
NEW
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CON
48%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 2
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 1
PON
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |