Barry Town vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
2º
1º
26
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 17 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 16 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 14 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 14 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 13 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 8 |
6º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
33% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAR
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 1
HAV
42%
26%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
BAR
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
PEN
38%
25%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FLI
2 - 1
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
3 - 0
FLI
59%
20%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
FLI
2 - 0
NEW
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
CON
7 - 2
FLI
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
FLI
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |