Barry Town vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
7º
10º
10º
6
9º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
12 | 46 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
1º
|
17 | 42 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 37 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 36 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 33 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 31 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 29 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 24 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 16 |
11º
|
41% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 15 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
13% | 17% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
87% | 83% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
NEW
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
BAL
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
LLA
59%
20%
21%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
0 - 1
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
FLI
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 4
TNS
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 2
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TNS
5 - 1
FLI
65%
17%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |