Barry Town vs Dinaburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1996 |
DIN
0 - 4
FCS
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1996 |
DIN
4 - 0
SAL
79%
15%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1996 |
FKJ
1 - 1
DIN
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1996 |
DIN
1 - 2
FKD
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1996 |
LKD
0 - 1
DIN
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |