Barry Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
10º
7º
26
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 4
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 2
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
PEN
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 3
CAE
77%
14%
8%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 4
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
CON
1 - 2
TNS
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
BRI
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
CON
1 - 2
ABE
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CON
5 - 0
GUI
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | +1 |