Barry Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
HAV
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAE
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CEF
2 - 0
CAR
17%
24%
59%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CON
5 - 0
CEF
81%
15%
5%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HAV
6 - 1
CEF
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 3
ABE
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 2
HAV
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |