Barry Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEF
72%
18%
11%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
HAV
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
HAV
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CEF
2 - 0
CAR
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |