Barry Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 5
BAR
22%
21%
56%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
5 - 2
CAL
79%
13%
7%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CWM
2 - 1
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
LID
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 3
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABE
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
20%
23%
56%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 1
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
CON
16%
24%
60%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |