Barry Town vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 4
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 0
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
CON
4 - 0
CAE
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 0
BAL
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 2
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
0 - 0
CAE
66%
19%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAE
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |