Barry Town vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 2
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 0
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
CAM
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 2
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
BAL
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
CAE
0 - 3
TNS
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 2
CAE
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
CON
6 - 2
CAE
65%
20%
16%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |