Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
BAR
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HAV
1 - 1
BAR
20%
23%
58%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
CLI
4 - 0
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
CLI
34%
23%
43%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 3
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CAM
3 - 4
ABE
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
GLO
4 - 0
ABE
12%
18%
71%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
ABE
3 - 1
LLA
81%
12%
7%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
6 - 2
ABE
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |