Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 5
BAR
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAR
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAE
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 6
CON
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 2
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 2
CEF
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CAE
4 - 0
ABE
45%
24%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |