Barrow vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 3
BOL
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
DER
15%
21%
64%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 0
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
1 - 0
BAR
29%
26%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
EXE
2 - 1
SWI
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 2
NOT
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 0
SWI
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
0 - 4
WAL
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
4 - 2
SWI
63%
19%
18%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |