Barrow vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
CRE
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
WIG
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
FYL
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
RUN
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
KIL
5 - 0
BAR
76%
16%
9%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 2
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POR
0 - 3
BOL
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
POR
3 - 1
LTF
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 0
POR
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 0
POR
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |