Barrow vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GRI
1 - 2
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
SWI
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 3
BOL
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
DER
15%
21%
64%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 0
WHU
22%
19%
59%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SWI
4 - 0
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 4
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
CHE
50%
23%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |