Barrow vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
45.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
KET
1 - 1
BAR
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
CAM
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 2
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 1
WRE
31%
29%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
ALF
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 0
DAR
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
YOR
1 - 1
NEW
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
KID
3 - 2
NEW
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |