Barrow vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
TOW
3 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
BRA
48%
24%
27%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SOL
0 - 2
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 0
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HIS
0 - 0
BAR
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HED
4 - 0
WOR
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 2
HED
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HED
3 - 2
GUI
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 2
HED
28%
23%
49%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
HED
2 - 2
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |