Barrow vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 0
BAR
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
DOV
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
HAR
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MAI
0 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 1
BAR
54%
25%
22%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
FYL
2 - 0
HAL
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
DAG
2 - 0
FYL
24%
24%
53%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
FYL
3 - 3
HAR
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
FYL
7 - 1
ALD
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FYL
3 - 1
DOV
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |