Barrow vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
DER
15%
21%
64%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 0
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
1 - 0
BAR
29%
26%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 2
EXE
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
STF
0 - 2
BOL
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
BOL
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 0
WRE
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
MAN
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |