Barrow vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KID
1 - 2
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
LUT
24%
28%
49%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 0
KET
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LUT
2 - 0
BAT
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAT
1 - 2
KID
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
BAT
0 - 1
HAY
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BAT
2 - 3
EBB
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
BAT
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |