FA Trophy 1/32
Global 4-2
Barrow vs Atherton Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
7 - 0
EBB
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
FYL
0 - 1
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
HAR
2 - 2
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
FYL
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
ATH
2 - 2
BAR
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Atherton Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
WAR
1 - 1
ATH
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
ATH
2 - 1
LAN
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
RAD
1 - 0
ATH
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
ATH
2 - 2
BAR
16%
21%
63%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ATH
2 - 1
HYD
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |