Barrow vs Aston Villa U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
DON
21%
22%
57%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
NOT
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
BAR
32%
26%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
LEI
3 - 1
AVI
41%
23%
36%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MID
4 - 2
AVI
38%
22%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
AVI
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AVI
2 - 3
NWC
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
MCI
4 - 1
AVI
62%
19%
19%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |