Barrio Pilar vs DAV Santa Ana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrio Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CER
0 - 3
BPI
33%
22%
45%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BPI
2 - 2
ALC
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
EPA
2 - 8
BPI
11%
16%
74%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BPI
2 - 1
TRN
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALA
4 - 0
BPI
35%
21%
44%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
DAV Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
GAL
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CCA
1 - 0
STA
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
ADU
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FOM
1 - 1
STA
51%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
AGR
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |