Barrio México vs Aserrí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrio México
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
BAR
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
TUR
62%
21%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PGF
0 - 2
BAR
26%
25%
50%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
BAR
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
CSU
55%
23%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aserrí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 6
ASE
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
ASE
2 - 3
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
JAC
1 - 1
ASE
49%
25%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ASE
3 - 0
LFC
77%
15%
7%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
ASE
1 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |