Barretos vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
PEN
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MOG
4 - 0
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
VOT
2 - 0
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
UNI
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
XVD
2 - 0
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
XVD
2 - 2
TAU
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
XVD
33%
27%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 3
SER
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 2
XVD
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |