Barretos vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
BAR
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAR
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
BAN
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
DES
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
SER
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |