Barretos vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAR
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 2
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
USA
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
BAR
32%
28%
41%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
BER
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAO
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
VOT
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |