Barretos vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
SJS
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
BAR
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
TAU
38%
25%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AME
3 - 2
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 2
FRA
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
NOV
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
FLA
11%
19%
70%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
NOV
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ITA
3 - 2
NOV
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |